The Colts have been looking for an explosive RB for as long as I can remember. Marlon Mack has shown he might be able to be that guy but I think Hines is the one that will eventually take over the job. The Colts have been lining him up all over the field because of his versatility and the more versatile you are the more snaps you’ll get to play. I think Hines can have a Tarik Cohen type impact.
#19. Mike Williams
The Chargers need a big pass catcher at WR. They have Keenan Allen but they need a running mate for him. They drafted Mike Williams to be that guy. Gates isn’t on the team and Henry has torn his ACL so there is a big opening to be the #2 pass catcher on this explosive offense. Williams should also be a big threat in the red zone, that’s why the Chargers went after him, and that means he’ll have plenty of options to put up TDs. Keenan Allen is gonna be the main guy but Williams will still receive a big amount of targets making him a solid flex option for the season.
#18. Mitchell Trubisky
I think Trubisky can follow in the footsteps of Goff and Wentz. He has a new coach with a great offensive mind and an influx of offensive talent. He now has a legit #1 WR in Robinson, a playmaker TE in Trey Burton, and he still has an incredible run game. I’m not expecting him to take a Carson Wentz type jump but I do expect him to be a very capable starter in 12 team leagues. As of now I expect him to go undrafted in most leagues so take a late round flier on him and see what happens.
#17. Corey Davis
Davis was one of the first picks in the 2017 draft for a reason. He didn’t do much in 2017 due to injuries but he did flash potential and showed how good he can be against the Chiefs in the playoffs. Mariota will take a step forward as a passer and that will lead to an improvement in the stat sheet for Davis. The Titans have been a run heavy team and they haven’t allowed Mariota to be himself and that has led to a slow start for Mariota. I think they break him out this season and update the offense. That update is gonna lead to Davis being the #1 WR on the team and he should get plenty of opportunities.
#16. Rishard Matthews
The Titans offense should look very different. Matt LaFleur should really help elevate this offense and progress Mariota. The better Mariota plays the better his WRs will do. For the last 2 years the most reliable guy has been Rishard Matthews. He’s led the team in receiving TDs over that span but no one ever really talks about him. Now that the offense will be improved I think Matthews can have his best year to date. Is he gonna be a WR1 that wins you a championship? No. Is he gonna be a top end flex starter every single week? Yes. He will be one of those guys you can get at the very end of your draft that will become one of your most important depth pieces.
#15. Alex Smith
Last season Smith was on this list and it didn’t go over so well with the people I talked to about him. He went on to finish as the QB4 while missing 1 game. It’s safe to say he would’ve been the QB2 had he not been sat for one game. Despite all this, he still is not being considered one of the top QB options for 2018. Last season Smith was just shy of cracking 300 points. I think he reaches that mark this season. Last season he finished 4th in yards per attempt and first in stretch vertical yard per attempt(passes thrown 20 yards or more downfield), 6th in QB rushing, and 2nd in bad decision rate(measurement of mental errors). This all points to him being a very safe option by giving him a very high floor. Over the past 2 seasons Washington is 2nd in vertical TD passes so I think it is safe to say that Smith wasn’t brought in to be a game manager. They brought him in to unleash him like KC did last season. I fully believe that this will be Smith’s best fantasy season.
#14. Cameron Meredith
Meredith is someone I raved about last season before suffering a season ending injury. He’s coming back healthy and I’m even bigger on him this season than I was last season. He is going from Chicago to one of the most dynamic passing games in the league in New Orleans. He’s going to be filling the #2 WR role and with Michael Thomas on the other side, he should get a lot of favorable matchups. Most people have forgotten about his 2016 season so he should be there at the end of most drafts. Don’t be among the people who have forgotten about him.
#13. Matt Breida
Jerick McKinnon gets all the excitement in San Francisco but Brieda shined in limited opportunities last season. Kyle Shanahan has also shown he can produce 2 high quality backs in the same season while he was in Atlanta. McKinnon will be the main guy so you can call him the Devonta Freeman while Brieda will be the Tevin Coleman. The 49ers offense is gonna take a major step this season and Breida will be a big part of that. Over the course of the last 4 games he touched the ball at least 11 times and if he can average that throughout the season I think he’ll have a safe flex floor. Breida won’t put up RB1 numbers but he has the potential to be a mid tier RB2.
#12. David Njoku
Njoku has some of the biggest potential in all of the NFL. He is incredibly explosive and athletic and is a nightmare matchup. When he was drafted he was viewed as a project and that was certainly the case in 2017 but I think in 2018, with more steady QB play, Njoku will cash in on that potential. I’m very big on the Browns this season and Njoku is one of the biggest reasons why. A top 10 TE finish is in the books for him.
#11. Ronald Jones
The Bucs have one of the most fire powered offenses in the NFL and with all the receiving threats it will be hard for a team to give any attention to the running game. Enter Ronald Jones. Jones is an electric back that has drawn comparisons to Jamaal Charles and if he is anywhere near that comparison then we should see a great fantasy season. I’m expecting Jones to get 250+ touches and that should translate to a lot of fantasy points considering defenses will have a hard time focusing on him. He should immediately be a RB2 star. You usually only great RB2 players in the 2nd round, maybe the 3rd, but Jones is going around the 5th right now and that is an absolute steal.
#10. Josh Doctson
Doctson has been marred by injuries in his short career so far but last season when he was healthy he produced some really good game film. He was 2nd on the team in targets last season and is a great goal line option due to his ability to go up and pinpoint the ball. Now he has an incredibly accurate passer who has shown he can sling the ball around when given the chance. I think Doctson is poised for a huge year 3 breakout.
#9. Aaron Jones
Last season the Packers had 3 different guys they used at RB. Jones was by far the best option. Jones will start the season suspended which will help him drop a few rounds but once he comes back I expect him to step into the starting role almost immediately. It is also gonna be much easier to run the ball when you have a healthy Aaron Rodgers torturing teams through the air.
#8. George Kittle
The 49ers don’t have a ton of talented pass catchers and that will create more targets for Kittle. Jimmy G leaned on his TEs quite a bit in his starts for the 49ers. I think that trend will continue and Jimmy will develop a strong chemistry with George Kittle. That strong chemistry and all those opportunities will lead to a top 10 finish for Kittle.
#7. Rashaad Penny
The Seahawks used to be known for running the ball effectively. The past few seasons have not been great though and people quickly point out the offensive line as the problem but the Seahawks haven’t had a great runner since Lynch and people ignore that for some reason. Sure, the offensive line could be better but getting a capable runner will also be a big help. Enter Rashaad Penny. Penny has great power but also a ton of burst. In his final year of college he averaged nearly 8 yards per carry. He’s a workhorse back he can get the job done. On top of that, the Seahawks have said they envision him as a 3-down back and on a team with little at WR and TE we can expect them to get back to running the ball a lot. His OL carries some risk but that risk should help fall in drafts. I’m encouraging you to take the risk on him and reap the benefits.
#6. Rex Burkhead
There have been multiple reports that Burkhead could lead the Pats backfield in touches and that he will get the majority of the goal line work. The average percentage of points scored per touch for RBs is about 2% but Burkhead scored on on nearly 9%. That number will decrease with a bigger workload but it still shows how versatile and dynamic he can be. Most are considering him as a decent PPR RB but he’s getting very little attention in standard scoring leagues. Don’t be one of those to make that mistake as well.
#5. Royce Freeman
I believe Freeman will emerge very early on and become a reliable option. He is by far the most talented back in Denver and should get the bulk of the load. The Broncos also have a much better QB situation this year and that will open up things in the run game. Freeman will have at least 1,000 rushing yards in 2018.
#4. Trey Burton
I’m predicting Burton takes a massive leap forward this year. 100+ targets and around 6 TDs is very doable. He has a young QB and a TE is a young QBs best friend. He has Matt Nagy as his coach now and we saw Nagy make Kelce the focal point of the offense for the Chiefs. I don’t expect Burton to be as productive as Kelce but I do think a top 5 finish is a strong possibility. I’d target Burton in the middle rounds of drafts. I’d rather overdraft him than miss out on him.
#3. Michael Gallup
The Cowboys lost 240 targets with Bryant and Witten no longer on the team. They’ve signed some guys to help take those targets but I think Gallup will be the guy getting the majority of those targets. He has incredibly reliable hands which is something Dak Prescott hasn’t had at WR and that reliability is gonna make Dak go to Gallup over and over. Gallup will be the #1 WR on this team and has star potential. Be prepared for him and don’t let his success sneak up on you.
#2. Patrick Mahomes
Patrick Mahomes is in one of the most favorable situations in the league. Good OL, strong run game, elite pass catchers, and a coach with a history of effectively coaching up rocket arm QBs. The Chiefs defense is bad which means Mahomes is gonna be on the field a lot trying to play catch up. That might not be great for the Chiefs but it’s great for fantasy. Mahomes will throw for 4000+ yards and 30+ TDs. I strongly believe Mahomes will be a top 12 QB.
Last season Kareem Hunt was the guy I was banging the table for. This year that guy for me is Michel. The Patriots don’t draft RBs early. They rely on castoffs because it works for them. The fact that they drafted a RB in the FIRST round tells me they plan on using him a lot. The Pats like to have a combination of a power runner and a catching back. Michel is both thrown into one. He’s gonna pound teams between the tackles and then run all over them catching out of the backfield. He is a combination of Kareem Hunt and Alvin Kamara and he just happened to fall into the perfect scheme with the perfect QB and coach. I told people to reach for Hunt in the 2nd round but I’m not telling you to reach for Michel quite that much. I won’t be letting him get past the 4th round in my leagues though.
God bless fantasy football. There are many things man can do with his time but this is better than those things.
I'm in nodellgronk's league and if any of those guys see this thread they'll see that most of the top guys I already drafted lol. There's some that are still out there though that I'm sure they don't know about and if they pick them up because of this thread I don't know if I should be disappointed that they took a guy I really like or if I should be happy because I helped out another fantasy player.
It's the guys no one really pays attention that will lead you to victory at the end of the year. I'm a believer in what you do at the end of the draft is what helps you to a championship.
This is so true; you win leagues in the late rounds along with the waiver wire.
I work the waiver wire constantly. By the end of the season I check to see how many transactions I made and it's usually 1000+ because I'm always adding/dropping new guys for different reasons. A lot of the guys I've played with have told me it's excessive and they never have more than 200 transactions but I'm always the one at the top and I'm not gonna fix what's not broken.